Engineer, superforecaster, gardener, happily married with kids and grandkids.
That's what Jeremy Lichtman's Multi-AI Oracle predicted today. Since the last time we sent you news from Sudan, Jeremy, with a little help from Brian LaBatte and me, has been experimenting with bots built by combining several large language models including a news scraping and parsing
May 14, 2024, we published Jeremy Lichtman’s “Georgia Protests Could Escalate.” All his specific forecasts have been correct. The "foreign agent" law passed, Georgia's president vetoed it, parliament overrode it, June 3 it was enacted into law. Now, Georgia is facing the beginnings of the
Today the African Union announced that it plans mediation soon between Sudan’s army and the Rapid Support Forces. Explainer on these warring parties here. The bad news: The UN reports that famine is imminent in Sudan and the neighboring nations where millions have fled; while the Yale School of
May 14, we published Lichtman’s “Georgia Protests Could Escalate.” Two days later, the Institute for the Study of War published this on their Russia/Ukraine daily summary: "Kremlin and Georgian officials promoted established Kremlin information operations alleging that the West is orchestrating protests against Georgia's '
Dateline April 16, 2024 * It feels like things are at an inflection point. It may now be possible for diplomacy to succeed (both on Iran and Gaza). On the other hand, there's the possibility of escalation. * Gaza is actually quiet lately. Most Israeli troops are out of Southern